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NCAA Bracketology: Conference Championship Week

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As the college lacrosse season winds down, we take a look at which teams are in, which teams are out and which teams still have work to do in order to get an invite to the NCAA Tournament.

Rob Carr/Getty Images

There are a lot of assumptions involved in the bracketology at this point, so take this with a grain of salt, because as we all know there is nothing predictable in NCAA lacrosse.Two good sources to keep tabs on for bracketology purposes are the guys over at CollegeCrosse.com and Corey McLaughlin at laxmagazine.com.

Things to Know About the Selection Process

  • All 10 conferences have automatic qualifiers this year.
  • 18 teams will make the NCAA Tournament.
  • There are two play-in games. The four conference champions with the lowest RPI rankings get placed into the play-in games.
  • Non-seeded teams (teams that do not get a no. 1-8 seed) are placed with geographic consideration. Additionally, the Committee tries its best to avoid first round, in-conference matchups.
  • An at-large bid cannot go to a team with a sub .500 record.
  • Navy and Denver are hosting, so if those two make it into the Tournament they will have home games.

Projected Conference Winners

Projected conference winners are the #1 seeds for the conference tournament. Teams in Bold have already won its conference title.

ACC: Syracuse Orange; AmEast: Albany; Big East: Denver; Big Ten: Johns Hopkins; Colonial: Fairfield; Ivy: Brown; MAAC: Marist; NEC: Saint Joseph's; Patriot: Colgate; Southern: Richmond

Jim's Eight At-Large Bids

Notre Dame, UNC, Duke, UVA, Yale, Ohio State, Cornell, Maryland

Last Four In

Ohio State, Yale, Cornell, UVA

First Four Out

Princeton, Georgetown, Marquette, Loyola

Johns Hopkins

I've been getting a lot of questions about whether or not I think the Jays will make the NCAAT. If JHU wins the Big Ten, Maryland will get an at-large, possibly taking away an at-large from Georgetown, Princeton or even Ohio State. If Hopkins does not win its first round game against the Penn State Nittany Lions then I think they're out of the Tourney. If the Jays lose in the finals to Maryland, then I think they will still miss because Ohio State has the head-to-head win over Hopkins.

Jim's Projected Bracket

Bubble Teams

Team

SOS

RPI

Top 5 (RPI) Wins

Top 10

Top 20

Losses to Teams Outside Top 20

Brown

39

11

-

Cornell

Princeton, Harvard

Bucknell, Penn

Georgetown

11

14

-

-

Marquette, Loyola

Towson

Loyola

7

20

-

-

Navy

Bucknell, Holy Cross, Army

Hopkins

6

13

-

Maryland

Navy

Towson

Marquette

20

15

-

-

Ohio State

Bellarmine

Cornell

9

8

-

Colgate, Albany

Yale, Princeton

-

Ohio State

22

16

Denver

-

Hopkins

Detroit, Rutgers

Yale

29

12

-

Maryland

Brown

-

Virginia

5

6

-

Cornell

Georgetown, Hopkins, Loyola

-

Navy

25

19

-

Colgate

-

Bucknell, Army

Princeton

18

17

-

-

Hopkins, Harvard, Yale

Lehigh, Stony Brook

Conference Breakdown

ACC

Conference Leader: Syracuse Orange

Locks: Notre Dame, North Carolina Tar Heels, Syracuse Orange, Virginia Cavaliers, Duke Blue Devils

Bubble Teams: N/A

  • The ACC will get all five teams in, and I expect SU to take the no. 1 overall seed. The Orange would pretty much have to lose to Colgate this week in order to hand off the top seed to Notre Dame.

AmEast

Conference Leader: Albany Great Danes

Locks: Albany

Bubble Teams: None

  • The America East Conference leader is currently the Albany Great Danes. Stony Brook and Albany should meet in the conference championship game. There is a possibility that the Seawolves win the conference. If that's the case then it will screw Ohio State or maybe Johns Hopkins; someone's bubble will get burst in that case.
  • I don't think Albany gets seeded, instead I think this team will go on the road which means big trouble for whichever team has to play them first round.

Big East

Conference Leader: Denver Pioneers

Locks: Denver

Bubble Teams: Marquette Golden Eagles, Georgetown Hoyas

  • Marquette's big problem is that it lost the head-to-head with Georgetown. I think the Hoyas are the big question in terms of bubble teams. For me, that eighth at-large comes down to Ohio State, Hopkins, and Georgetown, but I think OSU has the edge.

Big Ten

Conference Leader: Johns Hopkins Blue Jays

Locks: Maryland Terrapins

Bubble Teams: Ohio State Buckeyes, Johns Hopkins

  • There is a chance that OSU can take the B1G crown. However, Ohio State will have to play Maryland in the No. 2/3 matchup of the Big Ten semis.
  • Hopkins took down Maryland last week, and will face Penn State in its semifinals game. Hopkins actually has a decent at-large resume, so watch out this could get interesting with them. Like I said earlier, a loss to Penn State and Hopkins is out of the NCAAs.

Colonial

Conference Leader: Fairfield Stags

Locks: None

Bubble Teams: None

  • I thought Towson was a possible bubble team last week, but after two straight losses, that bubble has burst.

Ivy

Conference Leader: Brown Bears

Locks: Cornell Big Red, Brown Bears

Bubble Teams: Brown Bears, Cornell Big Red, Princeton Tigers, Yale Bulldogs

  • I think Brown and Cornell are locks to make the NCAAs. Without an Ivy League Championship, Princeton could find itself on the outside looking in. If both have to rely on at-large bids, I am 95 percent confident that Yale will make it over Princeton.
  • If Princeton wins the Ivy League Tournament, then I think all four Ivy teams make it in.

MAAC

Conference Leader: Marist Red Foxes

Locks: None

Bubble Teams: None

  • It is win the AQ-or-go-home in the MAAC.

Northeast

Conference Leader: Saint Joseph's Hawks

Locks: None

Bubble Teams: None

  • The Northeast is weak. It will come down to Hobart vs. Saint Joseph's in the NEC Championship game.

Patriot

Conference Winner: Colgate Raiders

Locks: None

Bubble Teams: None

  • I think Colgate is the only Patriot League team to make it. I know that there were several bubble teams last week, but the way things are working out, I think the league is done.

Southern

Conference Leader: Richmond Spiders

Locks: None

Bubble Teams: None

  • Richmond should probably win the conference and be sent to the slaughter in the NCAA Tournament.

The Orange will visit Colgate on Saturday at 3:30. The game can be seen on the CBS Sports Network and heard on WTKW 99.5 FM. Of course you can also follow me @Orangelax for updates throughout the game.