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Predicting the BCS, Take Three

Let's recap, shall we?

Here's what I said on October 23rd:

Rose: Cal vs. Ohio State
Fiesta: USC vs. Auburn
Orange: Georgia Tech vs. Louisville
Sugar: Florida vs. West Virginia
BCS Championship: #1 Michigan vs. #2 Texas

Let's move on quickly, shall we???

Now here's what I said on November 13th:

Rose Bowl: Cal vs. Michigan
Sugar Bowl: USC vs LSU
Orange Bowl: Georgia Tech vs. West Virginia
Fiesta Bowl: Texas vs. Boise State
BCS Championship: #1 Ohio State vs. #2 Florida

I'm pretty pleased with this assessment. It's probably only a few tweaks off from reality.

So where do we stand on November 29th?

Who is bowl eligible? Wake Forest, Maryland, Boston College, Virginia Tech, Clemson, Florida State, Miami
Who will win it? Wake should win it but if GT won, it would be the perfect ending to that kind of year for the ACC.
Is there another BCS hopeful? No.

Big East
Who is bowl eligible?Louisville, West Virginia, South Florida, Pittsburgh, Cincinnati
Who will win it? Rutgers is in the unfortunate (or fantastic) situation where they have to constantly prove themselves to everyone. Until the season is over, no one is going to trust this team because its all uncharted. I have to admit, I'm not exactly sure they'll beat West Virginia either but, I am going to jump on the bandwagon just in time and give them the benefit of the doubt.
Is there another BCS hopeful? If Rutgers wins, Louisville. If West Virginia wins, no one.

Big Ten
Who is bowl eligible? Ohio State, Michigan, Wisconsin, Penn State, Purdue, Iowa, Minnesota
Who will win it? Ohio State
Is there another BCS hopeful? Michigan.

Big 12
Who is bowl eligible? Texas, Oklahoma, Nebraska, Texas A&M, Kansas State, Missouri, Oklahoma State, Texas Tech, Kansas
Who will win it? Oklahoma. Nebraska's still a couple year away from being one of the big boys again.
Is there another BCS hopeful? No.

Who is bowl eligible? USC, Cal, Oregon, Oregon State, Washington State, Arizona State, Arizona, UCLA
Who will win it? USC's already got it, regardless of the UCLA game. So much for this being everyone's "revenge year" against the Trojans.
Is there another BCS hopeful? No. Shame on Cal.

Who is bowl eligible?Florida, Arkansas, Auburn, LSU, Tennessee, Georgia, Kentucky, Alabama, South Carolina
Who will win it? Florida, but perhaps not as easily as you think.
Is there another BCS hopeful? LSU

Special Consideration
Notre Dame - Despite two bad losses BCS ranking is high enough. Sorry haters, they're in.
Boise State - Undefeated. Ranked 10th in the country. Sorry haters, they're in.

So here's what we've got:

Rose Bowl: Michigan vs. LSU
Sugar Bowl: Florida vs. Notre Dame
Orange Bowl: Rutgers vs. Wake Forest
Fiesta Bowl: Oklahoma vs. Boise State
BCS Championship: #1 Ohio State vs. #2 USC

Who gets screwed by Boise/Notre Dame: Only one-loss Louisville, #6 in BCS