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SU WLAX Bracketology


All of the conference championships have finished and this is the current situation.

Automatic Qualifiers:

ACC - Syracuse

Patriot - Loyola

Big East - Florida

Ivy - Princeton

America East - Stony Brook

Big Ten - Penn St.

Metro Atlantic - Fairfield

Atlantic 10 - UMass

MPSF - Stanford

Atlantic Sun - Jacksonville

Northeast - Bryant

Big South - Winthrop

Colonial - James Madison

The following are most likely at-large selections:

Maryland, North Carolina, Boston College, Duke, Virginia, Northwestern, Ohio St., Notre Dame, Penn, Johns Hopkins

I don't see a situation where any of these teams don't make it in at this point. All of them have solid SOS and RPI and the tournament will draw heavily from the ACC and Big Ten. The exception on this list is Johns Hopkins, which is an independent. I believe the Blue Jays will be in for certain at this point due to their 9-8 upset victory over Duke today.

Bubble teams:

Cornell, Towson, Louisville, Hofstra

Four of these teams will vie for the remaining three at-large positions, in my opinion. If anyone is interested, LaxBytes.com (Lax Power also has this list) has a really good breakdown of percentages for the men and women selection chances. I actually drew much of the bubble teams info from that site. My feeling is that Cornell and Towson could very well make it in out of those four teams, leaving Louisville and Hofstra in a nailbiter for the final slot. Hofstra technically has a slightly better percentage of getting selected, but I think Louisville could wind up with the final slot due to their ACC affiliation. Hofstra had the number 1 seed in the Colonia lAthletic Association Tournament, but lost to Towson in the semifinals. Louisville had the number 7 seed in the ACC Tournament, but lost in the first round to Duke. Hofstra and Louisville both have similar RPI (23 & 24 respectively), but the Cardinals have the advantage in SOS at 23 vs.25.

Revised Seeding:

1 Maryland

2 North Carolina

3 Boston College

4 Syracuse

5 Duke

6 Penn St.

7 Northwestern

8 Virginia