It's not whether Triche decides to show up for a big game, if MCW can take care of the rock or if Southerland can keep up his hot shooting. Believe it or not, my main concern is with C.J. Fair.
I read the pre-game comments over at Casual Hoya and there was one point in particular that reminded me of a comment I made myself regarding CJ's play. CJ is a scorer, and this is a good thing. But, lately, while he's been his normal, productive self, he hasn't been his normal, efficient self. Four of the last five games, he's been under his season FG% average, including two games (Georgetown and Louisville) in which he shot under 40%. Teams know that CJ is a good player. They know where he likes the ball and how he likes to score. Good teams have the personnel to stop him. The problem lies in that, when a shot isn't there, CJ often tries to make one. It's something that goes unnoticed because he's not taking a ton of long threes, or crazy step-back jumpers, but CJ has been forcing a lot of shots up that might not be the best ideas.
As much as I hate to give accolades to a Hoya, Otto Porter is Big East POY less because of his scoring and rebounding, and more because of his playmaking. The last time he played the Orange, he killed them not with buckets, but assists. Getting the ball at the high post and dumping it low when Syracuse crowded him. That's what CJ needs to do. Be a playmaker, not just a scorer. When he's double and triple teamed, he needs to look for the open man, not try to split through for a contested bucket.