FanPost

Where do we bowl? (Updated 12/6)

With the NIU loss this evening, it's time to update the bowl predictions. The Huskies loss helps Syracuse in that the BCS spot NIU would have taken will now go to a power conference team, meaning there will be one fewer team from a big 5 conference to compete for that open bowl bid and one more MAC team. Here are my revised bowl schedules (note: I am assuming all teams favored in their games tomorrow will win, also not this year's BCS order of selection is Orange, Sugar, Fiesta).

tl;dr version: Syracuse will probably be going to either the Heart of Dallas, Little Caesar's, Beef 'O' Brady's, or possibly Meineke Car Care of Texas/BBVA (assuming Baylor gets a BCS invite/Rutgers loss), but cannot get a Poinsettia Bowl invite.

Teams in Italics have already been signed onto a bowl

BCS Games

National Championship Game: Florida State vs. Ohio State

Rose: Michigan State (Big 10 #1) vs. Stanford (Pac-12 #1)

Fiesta: Oklahoma State (Big 12 #1) vs. UCF (AAC #1)

Sugar: Alabama (SEC #1, at large) vs. Baylor (at large)

Fiesta: Clemson (ACC #1, at large) vs. Auburn (at large)

Non BCS Games

Alamo: Oklahoma (Big 12 #3) vs. Oregon (Pac 12 #2)

Armed Forces Bowl: Navy (Independent) vs. Rice (C-USA #3)

BBVA Compass: Houston (AAC #5) vs. Mississippi (SEC #9)

Belk: Georgia Tech (ACC #5) vs. Cincinnati (AAC #3)

Buffalo Wild Wing: Texas Tech (Big 12 #4) vs. Nebraska (Big 10 #4)

Capital One: Wisconsin (Big 10 #2) vs. South Carolina (SEC #2)

Chick-fil-A: Texas A&M (SEC #5) vs. Duke (ACC #2)

Cotton: Texas (Big 12 #2) vs. Missouri (SEC #3)

Fight Hunger: BYU (Independent) vs. Arizona (Pac-12 #6)

Gator: Iowa (Big 10 #5) vs. Georgia (SEC #6)

GoDaddy.com: Bowling Green State(MAC #1) vs. Arkansas State (Sun Belt #2)

Hawai'i: East Carolina (C-USA #2) vs. Utah State (MWC #4)

Holiday: Kansas State (Big 12 #5) vs UCLA (Pac 12 #3)

Idaho Potato: San Jose State (MWC #6) vs. Ball State (MAC #3)

Las Vegas: Fresno State (MWC #1) vs. Southern California (Pac 12 #5)

Liberty: Marshall (C-USA #1) vs. Mississippi State (SEC #8)

Military: Maryland (ACC #8) vs. Florida Atlantic (C-USA #6)

Music City: North Carolina (ACC #6) vs. Vanderbilt (SEC #7)

New Mexico: Boise State (MWC #4) vs. Washington (Pac #7)

New Orleans: Tulane (C-USA #7) vs. Louisiana-Lafayette (Sun Belt #1)

Outback: Michigan (Big 10 #3) vs. LSU (SEC #4)

Pinstripe: Rutgers* (AAC #4) vs. Notre Dame

Poinsettia: San Diego State (MWC #2) vs. Buffalo (MAC #4)**

Russel Athletic: Virginia Tech (ACC #3) vs. Louisville (AAC #2)

Sun: Miami (ACC #4) vs. Arizona State (Pac 12 #4)

*Assuming a win on Saturday

**The MAC has a conditional tie-in with the MAC in 2013 that makes the Poinsettia Bowl take a MAC team if Army is not bowl eligible (Source)

Bowl that still need teams

Advocare V100: Boston College (ACC #7)

Little Caesar's: Northern Illinois (MAC #2)

Beef 'O' Brady's***: Middle Tennessee State (C-USA #5)

Heart of Dallas: North Texas (C-USA #4)

Texas: Iowa (Big 10 #6)

***Assuming a SMU loss

As opposed to earlier in the week, there are now more bowl spots open. The breakdown of teams that need homes is as follows:

ACC: Pittsburgh, Syracuse

Pac 12: Oregon State, Washington State

MAC: Ohio, Toledo

Sun Belt: Louisiana-Monroe, South Alabama*, Texas State, Troy, Western Kentucky

In this scenario, the Advocare Bowl would likely scoop up a Pac-12 team to face BC, and that leaves four bowls to pick up three power conference teams and one other. My guess on how this turns out:

Washington State to Advocare V100, Oregon State to Meineke Car Care Bowl of Texas, Pittsburgh to Little Caesar's, Syracuse to Heart of Dallas, and Ohio to Beef.

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