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NCAA Football 13 Predicts The Upcoming Season
Upon request, I simulated the 2012-2013 College Football season 10 times using NCAA Football 13. I did not make any edits to player ratings, nor did make any adjustments to the default conference alignment. With that said, the simulation results are after the jump:
| Opponent | Sim1 | Sim2 | Sim3 | Sim4 | Sim5 | Sim6 | Sim7 | Sim8 | Sim9 | Sim10 | W/L | Avg Score | |
| Northwestern | L 38-41 | L 15-38 | L 20-21 | W 35-31 | L 14-38 | W 33-28 | L 10-27 | W 52-14 | L 14-38 | W 42-24 | 4-6 | L 27.3-30 | |
| USC | L 10-37 | L 10-35 | L 13-38 | L 10-52 | L 17-37 | L 3-49 | L 13-37 | L 14-49 | L 14-35 | L 7-59 | 0-10 | L 11.1-42.8 | |
| Stony Brook | W 48-14 | W 35-7 | W 30-6 | W 49-3 | W 45-13 | W 41-7 | W 42-9 | W 42-28 | W 49-17 | W 38-7 | 10-0 | W 41.9-10.1 | |
| Minnesota | W 42-7 | W 35-17 | L 17-23 | W 27-24 | W 21-14 | W 30-14 | W 31-0 | W 33-3 | W 35-32 | W 33-27 | 9-1 | W 30.4-16.1 | |
| Pittsburgh | W 52-20 | L 28-31 | W 29-28 | L 21-24 | W 31-14 | W 17-10 | L 20-27 | W 48-42 | W 31-16 | L 31-35 | 6-4 | W 31.8-24.7 | |
| Rutgers | W 37-14 | W 24-21 | W 32-24 | W 45-24 | W 17-13 | L 10-44 | W 20-17 | W 31-17 | W 41-10 | W 37-14 | 9-1 | W 29.4-19.8 | |
| UConn | W 24-17 | W 42-23 | W 38-35 | W 30-16 | L 28-29 | W 31-3 | W 38-10 | L 17-41 | W 48-14 | L 10-35 | 7-3 | W 30.6-22.3 | |
| USF | W 48-38 | W 41-17 | W 37-24 | W 31-20 | W 34-7 | W 35-33 | W 48-14 | W 38-7 | W 14-11 | W 41-10 | 10-0 | W 36.7-18.1 | |
| Cincinnati | W 20-10 | L 28-31 | L 3-27 | L 17-23 | W 30-7 | L 21-42 | L 17-31 | L 34-41 | L 28-36 | W 20-13 | 3-7 | L 21.8-26.1 | |
| Louisville | W 24-21 | L 13-17 | W 38-24 | L 13-25 | W 26-14 | L 24-28 | L 31-34 | L 23-27 | W 35-17 | W 31-17 | 5-5 | W 25.8-22.4 | |
| Missouri | W 45-0 | L 13-34 | W 28-24 | W 37-20 | W 38-35 | W 30-20 | W 20-10 | W 38-9 | W 35-17 | W 35-21 | 9-1 | W 31.9-19 | |
| Temple | W 28-19 | W 31-10 | L 35-38 | W 37-34 | W 34-6 | W 33-14 | W 31-21 | W 41-14 | W 27-24 | L 9-15 | 8-2 | W 30.6-19.5 | |
| Bowl Game | Fiesta Bowl | Beef O'Brady Bowl | Belk Bowl | Autozone Liberty Bowl | Fiesta Bowl | Belk Bowl | Belk Bowl | Autozone Liberty Bowl | Belk Bowl | Belk Bowl | |||
| Bowl Opponent | #8 TCU | Tulsa | #24 Virginia Tech | Tulsa | #3 Wisconsin | Florida State | #11 Virginia Tech | Houston | #23 Virginia Tech | North Carolina | |||
| Bowl Outcome | L 27-30 | W 42-25 | L 9-16 | w 35-30 | L 10-38 | W 20-13 | W 20-10 | L 26-45 | L 20-24 | L 24-41 | |||
| Final Ranking | #20 | Unranked | Unranked | Unranked | Unranked | #21 | Unranked | Unranked | #25 | Unranked | |||
| Final Record | 10-3 | 7-6 | 7-6 | 9-4 | 9-4 | 9-4 | 8-5 | 8-5 | 9-4 | 8-5 | 8.4-4.6 |
NCAA 13 is very optimistic about Syracuse Football, it seems. Despite a difficult schedule, Syracuse made a bowl game in every single one of my 10 simulations, and never finished with a record worse than 7-6. The best simulation was the first one, where SU went 10-3 and lost a close Fiesta Bowl game (where can I sign up for that?) Syracuse finished in the Top-25 three times, finishing as high as #20. SU had a 4-6 Bowl Record, but I think given the schedule they face, anyone would sign up for that. SU lost to USC all 10 simulations, and beat Stony Brook and USF in all 10. Overall, this is far more positive than is realistic. I think I'm going to have to edit the SU roster to be a little bit more realistic.
Average Statistics:
Ryan Nassib- 57% Completion, 3,144 yards, 26 TD, 9 INT
Jerome Smith- 843 yards, 8.5 TD
Alec Lemon- 49 catches, 757 yards, 5 TD
Marcus Sales- 61 catches, 881 yards, 8.5 TD
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