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Around SBN: UFC 146 Predictions

Syracuse vs. Cal State Los Angeles - Exhibition Impressions

As we all know, it’s really difficult to glean much from exhibitions against Division II opponents. However, it is nice to see the team back on the court, and I think there are a few things we can take away from the game against Cal State LA.

I liked the way Scoop played. He didn’t force the issue on offense; he distributed and took what the defense gave to him. I thought there was only really one bad shot Scoop took, where he drove the lane and tried to draw a foul, and threw up an ugly shot off the glass. Luckily, Baye was able to make a ridiculous tip in off of the miss. Otherwise, we got mostly "good Scoop" on Tuesday night.

Brandon obviously had a tough game, he only shot 2-11 from the field and was 0-3 from deep, but I liked how he was trying to score. He’s pretty strong and physically imposing for a guard, and since his freshman year I’ve been waiting for him to use this as an advantage, and post up some guards and try to do more damage in the paint. To this point, he’s really done most of his damage floating outside in three point range, but against CSLA, Brandon tried to find higher percentage shots. They didn’t fall, but the idea was there, and he looked really aggressive, which as we know, is not always the case with Triche. The fact that his struggles didn’t discourage him from continuing to attack the basket was a big plus for me. He is one of our most talented players, and this may be the year that he discovers it.

I also liked the way he crashed the boards. There was one play where he missed a three and was very aggressive in following his shot, and grabbed a board. He grabbed five rebounds in just fifteen minutes. He was also probably our most aggressive backcourt defender, and looks like he’s ready to try to be the Andy Rautins of this year’s zone.

Kris had a pretty quiet game, with 11 points and three boards in 24 minutes. I’m not convinced that Kris is 100% recovered from the nagging knee injury that held him out of a few practices (I think Boeheim alluded to this as well in the presser). I really hope this isn’t the case all season. The one play I really liked from Kris was where he drove the lane, and instead of possibly charging, or missing a tough contested layup, he dished it quickly to CJ who was open under the hoop.

I was very happy with what I saw out of Christmas for his first game. He was very good on the boards for a freshman, looked natural going for blocks, and just played well overall. He’s going to struggle with fouls, and his offense is really raw (although he did have a really nice kiss off the glass from about eight feet out). He needs to be a little better about anticipating passes, (Cooney had a really nice one in transition with about a minute left, but Rak was just not prepared for it). I think that we’ll probably get something similar to what we got from Baye last year out of Rakeem this year, with maybe a little more offense.

The best player on the floor Tuesday night was Fab Melo. Who saw that coming? There are few tangible things you can take away from a game with a team like Cal State LA, but the things Fab showed improvements upon from last year were very apparent, no matter who the opponent was. He’s just a ton slimmer, faster, more athletic, and way more aggressive. All that experience he got overseas this year seemed to be huge for his development as well. Some of the plays he made in transition (the goaltend that we all loved) were so impressive to see a 7-footer make.

If Fab can play like that against Big East competition, and I understand how big an ‘if’ that is, he’s going to open up so much for us offensively. In 2009-10, we started almost every game by having Brandon or Rautins feed AO on the block to get him established. I would not be shocked if we tried to do this with Fab to get him in rhythm.

Fab also showed a really nice face up game. Watching him take the three was funny, but if he can consistently hit that 15 footer he hit from the side, it would just be another bullet in our Orange holster, and another thing for defenses to have to defend.

I’m not ready to anoint Fab this year, Cal State LA is Cal State LA after all, but if this was a sign of things to come, this may be our last year with Fab Melo at Syracuse. And that has nothing to do with turn signals.

Star-divide

I was a bit disappointed in Dion's play.  While he was a respectable 4-8 for 10 points, he was 0-3 from deep, including a few air balls, and most of his damage was done in transition.  He didn't really play within the offense like I hoped he would this year;  we saw more of the out of control play that we saw out of Dion too often last year.  Dion is one of our most talented scorers, but he tends to become a black hole all too often.  

CJ looked like the CJ we all know and love from last season.  He just has such a high basketball IQ, and seems to know exactly where to be at all times, whether it is for a putback or a rebound.  His stroke on his three-point ball looked great, I can definitely see him taking a similar jump that Kris did from his freshman to sophomore year as a shooter.  

While a bit overshadowed by the Fab Melo show, I thought Baye showed improvement as well.  He is still a strong rebounder and shot blocker, and looks like he's added some great offensive skills, like the hook shot he hit late.  He has such long arms, if he gets consistency with that sky-hook, it's going to be almost impossible to defend.  I loved watching him take that charge early on as well.  He and CJ might be our two most heady players.  

Michael Carter-Williams was pretty visibly nervous in his first game at the Dome, but I thought he got better as the game went on.  Early on, he was sailing passes and seemed to be rushing things, but as he let the game come to him, he made some really nice plays.  I was impressed how well he scored in the paint, despite how rail-thin he is. He's only going to get better around the rim.  He also has a really quick release, but he shoots pretty low.  MCW is a tall, lanky guard, so he might not suffer as much as a shorter player may because of this, but I am a bit worried he might get shots blocked.  Either way, I like him as a shooter, and loved the head fake he threw to open himself up for the jumper in the second have.

I don't think we'll see much of Cooney this year, but I think he could come off the bench as a three-point bomber in a pinch (sorry Mookie).  His shot is gorgeous, he has such a quick release.  I also loved the midrange play he made late in the game.  I think he's 10th or 11th in the rotation at this point, but he should be a good one down the road.

I really really want James Southerland to be a good player.  He's the most athletic guy on the team, he has the ability to be a dagger three point shooter, and he just does so many things well.  That being said, the guy just disappears. James had a pretty dreadful game, he wasn't ready for passes, he air-balled shots, and he just wasn't really a factor.  

Mookie racked up fouls at an incredible rate.  Like, I was actually impressed.  

Some random, non-player specific notes:

-I'd be a bit surprised if we didn't lead the Big East in blocks this year.  Fab, Baye, CJ, and Christmas are all very good shot-blockers.  Again, Cal State Los Angeles is taken into consideration, but Rak had three, Fab, CJ, and Baye all had two, and MCW, Dion, and Southerland all added blocks of their own.  12 blocks is a crazy number.

-i don't know if we'll be quite as good defensively as we were two years ago, but this is probably the longest zone we've had.  I'm warming up to Christmas as a starter, I think he will be a very effective wing defender, and is probably a more natural fit there athletically than 2009-10 Rick Jackson was.  

-When I first saw it, I wasn't sure of what I thought about the new court design, but I think I like the new stronger emphasis on the Orange.  Also, I like seeing the "New York's College Team" front and center in big bold letters on the side.  Keep pushing it Doc Gross.

-No part of me thinks that the press or man-to-man is going to be a big part of our defense this year, but I think we are better suited for it this year than we have been in the past, if we wanted to throw a quick defensive wrinkle in there. The press that we did use had pretty mixed results.  

-This is probably the fastest team we've had in my time at SU, and we should be demons in transition.  Especially if Fab is going to hunt people down from behind all year.

-We need to do a better job of grabbing loose balls and long rebounds on defense.  I thought we let Stevie Thompson's boys get too many extra chances on offense.  

-Boy was that game ugly?  The first half was just brutal to watch since neither offense could do anything of note, and the second half had about eight fouls per minute.  #BlameBurr

-How funny was Adrian Autry's daughter running onto the floor?

It seems like basketball really crept up on us this year, but between Midnight Madness and Tuesday's exhibition, I'm really excited for this year.  Come on down to the slaughter, College of St. Rose.  

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Shot it like crap

That scares me because we shot it like crap for most of last season. Hopefully the rust falls off and Dion and Brandon and KJ and the rest remember how to make a jump shot. We already know they can dunk.

As for Scoop I just hope that we can move beyond the nonsense of last year, with people attacking everything he missed a shot. Yes he shot it like crap last year. So did the other guards. But Scoop is going to take his shots, and well he should. He is one our best 3 players.

by NoXCUSE99 on Nov 4, 2011 9:49 AM EDT reply actions  

Cooney

I personally think he is going to surprise some people this year. It wouldnt surprise me at all if he gets some significant minutes. Maybe not in quantity of minutes, but quality of minutes. MCW has a higher ceiling, but Cooney may be more prepared now. I did not see exhibition game, but I’ve been following these two since they both committed to us. One thing i’ve learned throughout my years of HS and College ball (d3), is that if you can shoot, you can play.

by Mike Will is DoubleDown on Nov 4, 2011 9:56 AM EDT reply actions  

This might be deemed blasphemous

But I think G-mac is a great analog to Cooney. G-Mac was never the biggest, fastest or most athletic. But he was smart and could stretch opposing defenses. Of course, I don’t expect him to have as big a roll as G-Mac did, but if Cooney can prove that he’s not a liability (especially on defense), then his shooting ability will get him minutes. Then again, the same could be said for Mookie oe Southerland.

"If I ain't gonna be part of the greatest, I gotta be the greatest myself." Busta Rhymes

by FeloniousPhunk on Nov 4, 2011 10:19 AM EDT up reply actions  

Cooney is different than Gmac

Cooney is much taller and quicker, and more explosive. Gmac was one of a kind and a competitor, who had the skills to play the point. Cooney will never play the point. But with his size, quickness, and leaping ability he could develop into a very dangerous player.

by NoXCUSE99 on Nov 4, 2011 10:30 AM EDT up reply actions  

I thought about Mookie and JSouth too

but I guess I should rephrase my last sentence to “if you can shoot consistently, you can play”. I know Cooney will have to do other things to see court time on this team, but I can definitely see him making an impact. Especially if he has that basketball IQ that I have heard he has. If he can pick things up quickly, then yes, I can see him playing some real quality minutes this year.

by Mike Will is DoubleDown on Nov 4, 2011 10:46 AM EDT up reply actions  

-This is probably the fastest team we’ve had in my time at SU, and we should be demons in transition. Especially if Fab is going to hunt people down from behind all year.

In one of the PS videos they said that they have been working on speeding things up down the court and working on more transition game. Seems like they are really going to try and turn games into track meets.

May Doug Marrone bless you and keep you.

by ryanwk628 on Nov 4, 2011 10:12 AM EDT reply actions  

That would be smart

Given that we don’t shoot it very well, the more we stay out of the half court the better.

by NoXCUSE99 on Nov 5, 2011 10:11 AM EDT up reply actions  

I liked the one comment by Scoop about Fab

Something to the effect that Fab is trying to dunk everything now. That’s what he needs to do. Of course he’s not going to throw down everything all the time. But if the effort is there, he’ll make great strides this season. I heard Dwight Howard once say that every time he jumps, he tries to touch the sky. Fab isn’t that kind of ridiculous athlete, but if he can get into that mindset, he’ll surprise a lot of people.

"If I ain't gonna be part of the greatest, I gotta be the greatest myself." Busta Rhymes

by FeloniousPhunk on Nov 4, 2011 10:22 AM EDT reply actions  

Exactly

its not dunking the ball everytime, its having that aggressive nature. Believing you can is the first step in doing it.

by Mike Will is DoubleDown on Nov 4, 2011 10:47 AM EDT up reply actions  

progressing accordingly

I think its important to remember that Fab didn’t start playing organized basketball until high school. When he arrived in the states, he was forced to sit a year and a half before being eligible to play. To go from a raw, international talent to McDonald’s All-American speaks volumes about his ability to learn (given that it shouldn’t be to tough to teach a 7-footer). Now give him an entire off-season to train and receive coaching from one of the best staffs in the country and his true potential really begins to display itself. Can’t wait to see what he can do as he continues to learn the game.

Karl Mallone says we should calls it live-betes, cuz he get sad er'ry time someone say they gon' diabetes

by OD31521 on Nov 4, 2011 10:37 AM EDT reply actions  

Slow down

Let’s wait until Fab plays against a real big man. No offense to Beardy McBarrelchest.

by zibby on Nov 4, 2011 11:38 AM EDT reply actions  

Agree on everything but Dion

Even though he wasn’t playing within our offense, I had a positive take-away from Dion’s game. The game was sloppy and I thought he, like many of our guys, played down to the competition. It happens all the time in college basketball. BUT… he is clearly in significantly better shape than he was last year. He got up and down the court, ran faster, jumped higher, looked like he can actually finish a fast break this season with a dunk instead of having his layup blocked from behind.

http://twitter.com/#!/TeabagDunk

by I miss DIAP! on Nov 4, 2011 12:13 PM EDT reply actions  

I don;'t think

Dion’s skill or athleticism were ever in question. Yeah, trimming a few pounds didn’t hurt, but It’s not like he ws 30 pounds overweight or anything either.

"If I ain't gonna be part of the greatest, I gotta be the greatest myself." Busta Rhymes

by FeloniousPhunk on Nov 4, 2011 12:41 PM EDT up reply actions  

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