Well, so far I was very wrong about Texas. But I did say this:
Meanwhile, from a $$$ standpoint, is there a team other than Texas that would be worth sharing $20M with? No.
In fact, all this talk of Syracuse, Pitt, Rutgers, and UConn. You think the Big 10 doesn't know what we currently get from the Big East??? The Big 10 would have to be moronic to just slice off $20M. That's like paying a neighborhood teenager $40/hour to switch from someone else to you. It takes a lot less to still be financially worthwhile. If they have any brains, they would say... we'll give you $7M and let you creep up $1M a year for the next 20 years. Even that would be worth it for some teams to move. Take it or leave it.
Texas, however, they could give the whole slice too.
Just my two cents.
And now this just in from the Big 10
But listen closely and it sounds like one factor outweighs them all: Money.
The Big Ten generates more than any other conference in the country, thanks in part to its one-of-a-kind Big Ten Network. And no one in the conference, not even enthusiastic expansion advocates such as Wisconsin athletic director Barry Alvarez, wants to sacrifice a dime of the roughly $22 million each school gets a year.
"You just don't jump into the league and get a full share of what everyone else in this league has established over time," Alvarez said. "I think someone has to buy their way into the league."
For all of our talk about the money of the Big 10... the Big 10 is not desperate. There is no way any of the non-Texas, non-Notre Dame candidates get in at $22M. That is just foolish.
Also, for all the talk about money... the Big 10 slice of the pie has not brought...well.. anybody except Ohio St. and Michigan to a national championship in a long, long time. Money does not equal success. It just means money. And, while that is important to maintaining an elite program, it is far from a guarantor of success (see Minnesota, Indiana, MSU, Northwestern, Vanderbilt, Kentucky, South Carolina, Mississippi, Mississippi St., Arkansas---all high revenue schools who have sniffed the BCS as often as Syracuse has during the post-McNabb era).
Meanwhile... Utah, Boise St., TCU... all have converted their low revenue into BCS bids.
No matter what happens to Syracuse and the Big East... the sky will not fall.