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Want To Break Up The BCS? Just Win, Houston

The Big East needs to win now if it wants any chance of salvaging a reputation.  The Big 12 is crushed under the weight of it's lofty expectations. The Big Ten can't be taken seriously. The ACC is irrelevant.

It's as if every college football conference is in dire straits these days.  Even the Pac-10 is still suffering from a "USC and everyone else" complex and the SEC continues to get dogged for it's scheduling practices (Tennessee and Georgia not-withstanding).  Pick a BCS conference and something is going terribly wrong for them. Seems like there aren't any conferences out there who are building any kind of momentum or making any in-roads at bolstering their national reputation.

That is...except the non-BCS ones.

The Mountain West has three teams in the Top 25 (more than the Big East) and two of those teams have wins over BCS opponents (BYU over Oklahoma and TCU over Virginia).  BYU is currently ranked 7th in the AP Poll.

The WAC has Boise State at #10 in the AP, winners over Oregon in the much talked-over season-opener that stood as a microcosm of the state of college football. Fresno State also took Wisconsin to double OT in Madison while Hawaii beat Washington State.

Conference USA's Houston returned to the polls for the first time since David Klinger was involved.  Their program-changing win in Stillwater not only put them on the map but also jogged the memory of college fans who might have forgotten East Carolina, Tulsa and other upset specialists are lurking in the conference background.

The Mid-American Conference might not have any ranked teams but they've already racked up a few notable upsets and close calls, including Central Michigan over Michigan State and Toledo over Colorado.  Bowling Green came within 7 points of Mizzou, Ohio only lost to UConn by a touchdown and Eastern Michigan pushed Northwestern to the brink this past weekend as well.

Even the Sun Belt got in on the fun last weekend when Louisiana-Lafayette topped Kansas State 17-15.

When you factor in 1-AA Northern Iowa being a blocked field goal away from upsetting Iowa, Maryland needing overtime to defeat James Madison and William & Mary actually beating Virginia (by 12 points!)...you can't help but notice what's going on in college football.

The little guys are catching up.

Star-divide

Now, this isn't to say that if you put Louisiana-Lafayette and USC on the field together 20 times that the Ragin' Cajuns will win even once.  But put Lafayette on the field against Washington.  Or Iowa State.  Or even Mississippi State.  And I'm willing to bet they'll hold their own more often then you think. 

This past off-season, the Mountain West and Senator Orrin Hatch did what they could to try and force a change in the BCS system.  A change that would have allowed them and other non-BCS schools equal access to BCS bowl games and the national championship.  As-is, the system is set up to basically ensure that almost all non-BCS teams have no chance of ever playing for the national title and very few have a shot each season to play in a BCS bowl at all.  Also, if one of them does break through, no other one is allowed to that season.  Sorry, dems the arbitrary breaks.

Attempts at drafting new rules and even asking for the help of the government did nothing to stop the BCS from moving forward with it's agenda.  And why not?  As long as non-BCS schools routinely fall outside the criteria except for a couple outliers here and there, the system is "working," right?  Just the same way the system "works" when there are more than two undefeated teams and only two get to play for the title because some guy with a computer in Abliene thinks one is better than the other.

The season is still so very young and things are going to change so much by the time we get to December.  That said...what if the non-BCS teams that have crept into the Top 25 stay there.  Sure, BYU, TCU and Utah all have to play each other.  But what if one of those teams stays undefeated while another one only has one-loss and is highly-competitive otherwise?  And what if at the same time Boise State goes undefeated?  And at the same time Houston or Tulsa or someone else goes undefeated?  And when it's all said and done, three of those teams are ranked in the top ten and all four are in the top fifteen.

How in the world do you turn all three of the "lesser" teams away from what they've rightfully earned just because they play for a non-BCS conference?  You can't get more unsportsmanlike and un-American than that.

Granted, these are unlikely odds.  But looking at the way things are going, it gets more likely every year.  And as more non-BCS teams start the season with high rankings, the odds get even better.  And once we reach the point where it's no longer deniable that a Mountain West team is easily on the same plane as any BCS team...that's when it will be impossible for the NCAA to keep this charade up any longer.  When the Big Ten and ACC and Big East present 3 and 4-loss teams as preferred choices to an 11-1 MWC or WAC team and everyone truly knows the non-BCS school is better, then you'll have a case to take to court.  Or Capitol Hill.  Or anyone else.

But it's the court of public opinion that'll make it happen.  All the fancy words and laws and arguments in the world don't hold up to beating a top-ranked BCS team on their own turf on national television. Right, BYU?

If the NCAA were smart, they'd read the writing on the wall and invite the MWC to join the BCS right now.  Just give them one of the "wild card" slots in the BCS rotation and you're all set. As for them wanting to stand united with the WAC and others, don't worry.  There's no loyalty amongst thieves, especially with that much money on the table.  Besides, while that won't solve the issue, it will delay it.  As the Mountain West continues to improve as a whole, you can still make the argument the WAC, CUSA and others just aren't fit for inclusion yet despite the occasional undefeated team.

The NCAA would be hailed as progressive without giving up their archaic, horrible, good ol' boys system.  The Mountain West would get the reward it deserves for building football programs that can hold their own with any team in the nation.

Every week that passes, it seems, another couple upsets go down.  This weekend there's quite a few games that catch the eye (Northern Illinois - Purdue, East Carolina - North Carolina, Virginia - Southern Miss, Tulsa - Oklahoma).  And as they continue to happen and more non-BCS teams continue to beat their BCS counterparts, the divide will continue to shrink.  Until one day when, at least in most cases, you won't be able to tell the difference.

0 recs  |  Comment 18 comments |

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Excellent Analysis.

I think there’s plenty of room for these other programs to develop larger fan-bases and generate revenue. It worked for Rutgets, Cincy, Boise etc. The fundamental problem with expanding post-season opportunities (other than the obvious money-grab by the big boys) is that the logistics of adding enough games to facilitate playoffs would be extremely difficult. Once the 11-12 game a season boundary was crossed, it all but eliminated the ability to add 3-4 playoff rounds. Also the further expansion of bowl games farther from New Year’s has hurt. December & January are for the NFL with only a brief time-out for the 4-5 days around New Year’s.

An interesting idea would be to go to a 1st and 2nd division system like International Soccer does. A conference’s performance the previous season would dictate how many postseason bids they would get the next, 1 or 2. The top 5 conferences get two bids, the other 6 get 1 for a total of 16.

Of course you’d have to put a cap on regular season games to 11, eliminate conference championship games, & force ND and the service academies to join the BE (which is where they belong anyway). But you could throw a bone to the biggies by making the first two rounds at regional sites that would generate championship-caliber revenue (a la the Cocktail Party in J-ville). You could also still have minor bowl games for those who didn’t qualify for the playoffs, it would actually force a little more creativity in promoting them (like playing at Yankees Stadium).

Either way, you could still have every team get 12-14 games, the biggies would still get more money, and there’s added incentive for the minor conferences to be more competitive.

The 'Cuse is in tha house, oh my God oh my God.

by StrawHatGuy on Sep 15, 2009 6:43 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

I wish we could go back in time

and institute that soccer “top 2 up, bottom 2 down” system in American sports. It would make everything so much more exciting. Plus, we’d never have to watch the Clippers, Lions, Nationals or Pirates ever again.

Then again SU would be in the lowest division by now, so, probably for the best.

Troy Nunes Is An Absolute Magician - The Syracuse blog that cares.

by Sean Keeley on Sep 15, 2009 7:06 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Go BCS! All you haters need to just jump on board and enjoy the BCS and bowl games because there are here to stay. Stop boohooing about some small school who does not have anyone legit on their schedule and go undefeated crying about how they belong. Join a real conference, get better competition or just suck it up.

by Orange Chuck on Sep 15, 2009 7:01 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Heck yeah and the Midas Car Care Bowl and soon, the Yankee Bowl baby.

by Orange Chuck on Sep 15, 2009 7:10 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

The easiest fix

1 automatic bid to the highest qualifying non-BCS team. I imagine that’ll happen in the next 5 years, and unfortunately it’ll shut everyone up.

NittanyWhiteOut.com. Arguably the second best Penn State blog I know of.

by PSUdevon on Sep 15, 2009 7:16 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

that's actually not a bad idea

the only teams i have the slightest inkiling of sympathy for in this equation are the MWC teams, because BYU and TCU are really good, and Utah’s established a solid program too— although I think they’re a step below the other two this season. I have no sympathy for Boise or any of the C-USA teams; those conferences are just too pathetic— remember that we’re barely a week removed from arguably the 2nd best team in the WAC getting absolutely waxed at Notre Dame (and along those same lines, don’t forget what Notre Dame did to Hawaii in their bowl game last year). If Boise’s that serious they should either fight like hell to get into the MWC or schedule 2-3 really tough non-conference games every year.

ExtendtheGame.blogspot.com

by Calogero on Sep 15, 2009 7:38 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

I think

you’re right. And the BCS will fall over themselves to say how amazing they are for doing it.

Troy Nunes Is An Absolute Magician - The Syracuse blog that cares.

by Sean Keeley on Sep 15, 2009 7:54 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

exactly

and how could ANYONE complain about the fact that there’s no playoff when they’ve just opened up the biggest stage in college football and the biggest checkbooks of any bowls for schools that wouldn’t have had any chance before!

NittanyWhiteOut.com. Arguably the second best Penn State blog I know of.

by PSUdevon on Sep 15, 2009 8:22 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Sean, I know you have to be more professional...

…but I already miss Sneering Jimmy Face.

Please find ways to incorporate him daily.

The 'Cuse is in tha house, oh my God oh my God.

by StrawHatGuy on Sep 15, 2009 7:20 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

I gave him a Viking funeral

without all the putting him on a boat at sea and lighting it on fire.

But the idea was the same.

Troy Nunes Is An Absolute Magician - The Syracuse blog that cares.

by Sean Keeley on Sep 15, 2009 7:55 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

Personally – I think The BYU’s, Houstons, TCU’s, Boise State’s, etc – the top teams in non-BCS conferences would compete very well in BCS conferences. They would certainly be better than the lower half of those conferences.

http://fourthdownand5.blogspot.com/ — a "playoff" blog

by socmaniam on Sep 15, 2009 7:59 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Well this is probably the best article ever

Look for Central Michigan, Northern Illinois or even Toledo or Bowling Green to make a lot of noise out of the MAC this year.

Sure they had tough early losses, but so did Ben Roethlisberger when he led his Miami OH team to a 12-1 record back in 2003 after losing the season-opener against Iowa.

Look at the Colonial Athletic Association (CAA):

Richmond over Duke
Villanova over Temple
William & Mary over Virginia
New Hampshire over Ball State
James Madison ALMOST beating Maryland

Red and Black Attack - Northern Illinois Pride

by Mike Breese on Sep 16, 2009 1:16 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

I love the MAC

Great offensive innovators, fun football – and it’s awesome to watch. Even NIU; GREAT RB’s – Garret Wolf, Michael Turner, etc.

I wish it got more exposure – and I wish other teams had the balls to put MAC teams on their schedules.

The scheduling issue is really out of control. Let’s see: Florida – the #1 team in the nation, mind you – opens up with Charleston Southern and Troy. Texas, the #2 team in the nation, opens up with Univ. of Louisiana-Monroe and Wyoming.

That’s ridiculous. There should be a governing body that mandates that one year the Big Ten plays against the SEC, the MAC plays the Pac-10, the Big-12 plays the ACC, MWC plays the Big East – or whatever it is; and those are the out of conference games.

The fact that national championship-caliber teams routinely play Div1AA (yeah I said it, WTF are you going to do about it NCAA?) teams is just foolish. If everyone agrees that we have to stick to this ridiculous BCS system, at least mandate minimum scheduling requirements.

And teams should stop being such pansies and agree to play teams like Fresno State, the Toledo, the Central Michigan, Houston, etc.

It’s like this self-fulfilling prophecy where some mid-level SEC team’s fanbase will complain about a mid-major saying, “well who did they play?” EXACTLY – with the exception of a handful of teams out there (USC with their gauntlet of an out of conference schedule immediately comes to mind) no one has the balls to put these teams on their schedule. It’s so damn frustrating. For such a great sport, it really is popular despite itself.

by Cody K on Sep 16, 2009 5:54 PM EDT up reply actions   0 recs

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